Journal of Statistics Applications & Probability


At a time when Egypt is suffering from the high population increase, which may be one of the biggest challenges facing Egypt, we find a rapid spread of informal areas in Egypt, that represent about 37.5% of the total urban mass in the Republic of Egypt. The study aimed to study the level and trends of reproduction of the population in slums in Greater Cairo, and change in the speed and density of fertility among slum dwellers. We used advanced statistical analysis of field study data for a sample consisting of 667 households, and 595 women of childbearing age eligible for individual interviews. We designed a statistical model of reproductive behavior for women in the slums of the Greater Cairo Region based on Demographic, social and economic characteristics and intermediate determinants affecting the current and future reproductive behavior. Only 11 indicators that have direct or indirect effect on fertility in women were produced, and compared with the same indicators in the EDHS 2014. The study also used life tables and the succession rate Reproductive to identify early fertility changes, based on a scale (B60) for every transmission between births starting the first marriage. We provided a set of recommendations, including the expansion of educational services while encouraging females to enroll in education, and conducting a national survey for slums in the Arab Republic of Egypt with all its categories to measure knowledge and trends towards reproductive health and reproduction to explore the shortcomings.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)