Bayesian Inference and Prediction using Progressive First-Failure Censored from Generalized Pareto Distribution

Authors

M. A. W. Mahmoud, Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science, Al-Azhar University, Nasr city (11884), Cairo, Egypt
Ahmed A. Soliman
Ahmed H. Abd-Ellah
Rashad M. El-Sagheer

Author Country (or Countries)

Egypt

Abstract

This paper describes the Bayesian inference and prediction of the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution for progressive firstfailure censored data. We consider the Bayesian inference under a squared error loss function. We propose to apply Gibbs sampling procedure to drawMarkov ChianMonte Carlo (MCMC) samples, and they have in turn, been used to compute the Bayes estimates with the help of importance sampling technique. We have performed a simulation study in order to compare the proposed Bayes estimators with the maximum likelihood estimators. We further consider two sample Bayes prediction to predicting future order statistics and upper record values from generalized Pareto (GP) distribution based on progressive first-failure censored data. The predictive densities are obtained and used to determine prediction intervals for unobserved order statistics and upper record values. A simulated data set is used to illustrate the results derived.

Suggested Reviewers

N/A

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

http://dx.doi.org/10.12785/jsap/020310

Recommended Citation

A. W. Mahmoud, M.; A. Soliman, Ahmed; H. Abd-Ellah, Ahmed; and M. El-Sagheer, Rashad (2013) "Bayesian Inference and Prediction using Progressive First-Failure Censored from Generalized Pareto Distribution," Journal of Statistics Applications & Probability: Vol. 2: Iss. 3, Article 10.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12785/jsap/020310
Available at: https://digitalcommons.aaru.edu.jo/jsap/vol2/iss3/10