Journal of Statistics Applications & Probability

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Fertility in India will continue to decline steadily to below-replacement levels towards the end of the century, and then recover early next century. Averages aggregated at the national level however, mask the considerable economic, cultural and spatial heterogeneity at the regional level, which in turn, have a profound influence on the level and pace of fertility decline. Conventional fertility theories highlight the influence of modernization, social and economic development and diffusion of changing ideas and individualistic values on the desired number of children. In this study estimation of fertility pattern is analyzed by two fertility control measure. First measure is based on the birth interval treated as non– homogenous Poisson Process and second measure is based on ASFR. The results indicate fertility after age 35 is decreasing; it may be due to use of contraception or curtailing fertility after age 35 years.

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